Regional Perspective

OVERVIEW

 

 

Within the New York Region, Pound Ridge is in an area historically insulated from the main path of urbanization. Recently, the development of a mature corporate economy in Westchester and Fairfield Counties, focus­ing upon the White Plains and Greewich­Stamford areas, as well as the completion of Interstate 684 have made the Town relatively more accessible than it has been in the past.

The population of Westchester County, currently about 870,000, has declined from nearly 900,000 in the late 1960’s and is pro­jected by the County Planning Department to continue to decline or remain at this level dur­ing the coming decade. There has, however, been a significant shift occuring within the County, whereby the North County popula­tion has actually increased while the South County’s has shown a significant decline.

Long term energy supply considerations will have a significant effect upon growth trends in the Town. Pound Ridge’s present development pattern is very heavily depen­dent upon automobile transportation and therefore upon an assured supply of gasoline.

Public confidence in the availability of this fuel will have an impact on the future rate of development in the Town.

Map 1 shows the relationships of Pound Ridge to the New York Metropolitan Area the Town is located very near the periphery of the area which is substantially developed. This circumstance is of great importance in defin­ing the Town’s regional role. It provides open space and a comparatively undisturbed natural environment within a relatively short distance of the nation’s largest city.

This location at the fringe of urban development is significant in developing a framework for planning in Pound Ridge. Location at a transition point means that a reversal of the regional decline to even a mild growth trend could place strong development pressure upon the Town. Therefore, the basic structure of the Town’s planning should con­tinue to be based upon a logically established ultimate capacity population, rather than a ten or twenty year growth projection.

Areawide planning documents have been prepared at the State, Regional and County levels. Because our Town Plan has been prepared in the context of these documents, a brief review is included here.

CONCLUSIONS: REGIONAL OVERVIEW

 

 

The principal conclusion of this regional overview is that the current planning policies of the Town are in conformity with areawide studies by the State and Regional planning agencies and Westchester County. The en­vironmental planning work which Pound Ridge already has accomplished, combined with the current program which is designed to produce a comprehensive plan based on a strict environmental preservation policy, will continue to maintain the Town’s position in the forefront of community planning in the region. The purpose of this program might best be described as an effort to develop the municipal planning technology that is needed to implement regional environmental plan­ning goals.

Having established the importance of the Town’s environmental and open space plan­ning within the regional context, it is valuable to examine Pound Ridge’s hydrologic en­vironment in a regional sense. The Town is located in an upland area. This means that water flows from Pound Ridge into adjoining communities, and of special significance, into a number of reservoirs. The Mill River, which actually begins in Ridgefield, Connecticut, contributes water to the Laurel Reservoir in Stamford. In the western portion of the Town, tributaries of the Mianus River con­tribute water to the Bargh Reservoir, also in Stamford. The northern portion of the Town, much of which is occupied by the Ward Pound Ridge Reservation, contributes water to New York City’s Croton Reservoir system. Of special significance is the proposed “AA Special” designation for all streams which flow into the Connecticut Reservoirs. Water quality requirements for this proposed class are extremely high and would not allow sewage treatment facilities, even with tertiary systems, to have outfalls into those streams.

Town of Pound Ridge Planning Analyses

POPULATION AND RESIDENTIAL

 

LAND USE

 

Overview

 

Growth in Pound Ridge throughout the 1970’s has occurred in conformance with the Town’s 1971 Comprehensive Plan. The pace of growth can be described as slow to moderate, averaging about 26 new homes per year, with the exception of 1978, when 72 new homes were built.’

As shown on Map 4, building permit trends indicate that the rate of growth in Pound Ridge is slightly less than that of most of its New York neighbors. This is largely a func­tion of the relative isolation of the Town from major commuting corridors.

The Town’s growth per year is much less than that experienced by adjoining municipalities in Connecticut, particularly Stamford. However, varying taxation policies between New York and Connecticut serve as a barrier to growth pressures from Stamford.

Reflecting the growing environmental awareness in the Town, much recent sub­dividing has involved modest clustering of residences to preserve open space, particularly in environmentally sensitive areas. The results of this policy, in reflection of the 1971 Plan, have been to preserve green belts along

streams; to provide contiguous open space corridors and to increase the total amount of preserved acreage in the Town.

In 1976, the Planning Board conducted a land use survey and mapping of the Town. The data gathered during that study have been compiled on the 1976 Land Use Map. Comparison of this map with the 1971 Plan indicates that most of the Plan’s recommen­dations have been carried out.

A comparison of the 1976 to the 1966 land use data indicates a gradual growth in most categories of land use during that period of time. If major waterbodies are excluded, the total increase in land which is either in use or at least presently committed to some use has increased by approximately 1,100 to 1,200 acres or about 15% during that decade. Similarly, land classified as “undeveloped” has decreased by about the same amount. Significantly, whereas in 1966 it was still true that approximately half of the Town’s land area was undeveloped and uncommitted to any particular use, we now find that only a lit­tle over 40% of the Town’s land area remains in that “undeveloped” category.

It is noteworthy, however, that although more than half of the land in Town is now “committed” to specific uses, the amount of land utilized for residential development, in­cluding roads, comprised less than one quarter of the Town’s total acreage in 1976. The amount of land which remained uncom­mitted and developable was twice the size of the developed residential acreage. Therefore, although the Town is very fortunate in having a large proportion of its total acreage commit-

ted to open space, the Town when developed to its capacity according to existing zoning could have perhaps two and one half times the present acreage devoted to residential pur­poses.

As illustrated in Section III of this report, “The Natural Environment,” much of the re­

maining undeveloped land is associated with significant environmental limitations.’

Table I

SUMMARY OF EXISTING LAND USE

RESIDENTIAL ZONING DISTRICTS

Pound Ridge. New York . 1978

(All Figures in Acres)

 

Land in Use For:

                                                                                   Publ,cI                                           Open Space(Recrealion
                                                              Business         Semi.                                                                                    Major                                Total
Zoning           Gross                                (IncI.            Public                                                      Walershed              Waler                                Land            Total
District           Acres          Residence        Nursery          Facil.         County         Town        Private                            Body             Roads           In Use           Undeveloped

  R-3A          11,227              1558                                           17                 2,850              93              452             1240            145                219             6,574                 4,653

  R.2A            3,311             1,310                 47                48                                        61                         94                       226                                               162             1,948                   1,363

   9-lA                           176                           35                                                                                                                                                        41                                                     7                            83                                 93

 

Resi­dential

Districts

   Total                    14,714                      2,903                         47                          65                    2,850                     154                      546~             1,50                            145                         388                       8,605                            6,109

Table 2

ESTIMATED RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL

Pound Ridge, New York- 1976

                                  Town Land                    10 Year Increase         Remaining Undeveloped      Potential Additional
Zoning                       In Use                             1966-76                     and Not in Use
- 1976~            Dwelling Units

District             Acres      % of District        Acres          _______                          Acres      % of District               (Estimated)

R-3A                  6,574          58.60/c                         1,317                   25.1%              4,653                 41.4%                     1,160 @ 0.25/Acre

R-2A                  1,948             58.5%                   34                1.80/c                 1,363             41.28/c                            490 @ 0.36/Acre

R-1A                      83         47.20/c                               -7              -7.8%              93            52.8%                    60 @ 0.67/Acre

Resident al

Districts

Total                   8,605         58.50/a                         1,344             18.5%          6,109            41.5%               1,710 Dwelling Units

Present Residential Development Potential

 

An analysis of the present potential for ad­ditional residential development in Pound Ridge based upon the current zoning and ex­perience with development in recent years has been prepared. The result of this analysis with respect to the Town’s residential zoning districts is presented in Table 2.

The potential number of additional dwell­ing units was estimated for each zoning district after taking into consideration the loss of potential building lots due to roads, recrea­tion requirements, design inefficiency, wetlands and other evironmental constraints. It should be noted, however, that the estimate is not based upon an actual property-by-property hypothetical subdivision layout, nor does it include a detailed mapping of the stream setback concept recommended in a subsequent section of this Plan.

In addition to the potential for develop­ment of additional dwelling units in residen­tial districts, there is also a potential for the development of approximately 90 new apart­ment dwelling units in the Scotts Corners Business District in accordance with present zoning. A summary of the existing and poten­tial dwelling units in Pound Ridge’s residen­tial and business districts is presented in Table

3.

 

Projection of Residential Growth

 

Assuming a growth rate of 26 new residences per year (the average rate of the

past several years), the following projection of residential growth results:

 

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

 

Total Number

of Households          1,400 1,530 1,660 1,790 1,920

 

Thus, the projected number of additional dwelling units by the year 2000 is about 500. Assuming that two-thirds of these would be in

the Three Acre District and one-third in the Two Acre District, approximately 2,000 addi­tional acres of land would be committed to residential use by the year 2000. This would mean that about 5,000 acres (without accoun­ting for the effects of clustering), or 35% of the Town’s total land area, would be commit­ted to residential use by that time. Assuming no other changes were to take place, about 4,000 acres of land would remain in the privately owned, undeveloped category.

Therefore, these growth projections in­dicate that by the year 2000, it is likely that Pound Ridge’s landscape will have experienc­ed some considerable change but will still be characterized by abundant open space.

However, as discussed in the regional sec­tion of this report, the Town’s location at the periphery of the New York Metropolitan Area’s urbanized area renders any growth projection inherently unstable. Typically, suburban development moves outward from the core in a wave-like pattern. This means that it is possible that the Town could ex­perience a sudden, dramatic increase in its rate of growth. On the other hand, due to a combination of factors such as the halt of regional growth, fuel shortages, and changes in family lifestyles, residential growth in the Town could also possibly come to a standstill.

Proper planning strategies require being prepared for all contingencies. This is best done by planning for a capacity population, rather than a growth estimate for any par­ticular year. As stated earlier, the current estimate of maximum capacity residential development is about 2,900 dwelling units.

 

 

Population and Family Type Changes and Predictions

 

During the past ten years, trends in lifestyle across the nation have altered the typical family’s size and function. These trends are potentially significant for Pound Ridge. The 1980 Census will produce more definitive in­formation on these changes; until that time, alternative data sources must suffice. A special population study by Westchester County, undertaken in 1975, showed that the average family size in Pound Ridge has declin­ed from 3.59 in 1970 to about 3.25. The results of a survey of Town residents under-

taken in 1977 yielded an average family size among respondents of 3.1.’ Analysis of data supplied by the Bedford Central School system provided indications that the average family size may actually be slighly lower than this number. For purposes of this report, average family size in Pound Ridge will be assumed to be 3.25, although this can be rechecked when the final 1980 Census results become known.

Assuming a growth rate of approximately 26 new dwellings per year, this yields the following range of estimates of future popula­tion:

                                 1980  1985   1990   1995   2000

 

Total Number of hslds: 1,400 1,530 1,660 1,790 1,920

Population at 3.0/hsld: 4,200 4,590 4,980 5,370 5,760

Population at 3.5/hsld: 4,900 5,355 5,810 6,265 6,720

 

In comparison, Westchest County produc­ed the following population growth estimate for Pound Ridge as a part of the ‘208’ Pro­gram:

 

Population

      1970                                3,792
      1975                                4,200
      1980                                4,400
      1985                                4,600
      1990                                4,800
      2000                                5,000

 

Thus, there is a considerable range between various projections of Town growth. The highest estimate, however, is still for a moderate growth rate. Applying the 3.0 to 3.5 projected household size yields a capacity population estimate, based on current zoning, of an additional 5,000 people, or a total of about 9,500 based upon full development in accordance with present zoning. As a result of reduced household size, this is somewhat less than the potential maximum of 11,150 per­sons estimated in the 1971 Town Plan.

It is anticipated that as time goes by, this number may be reduced further because of the commitment of some of the remaining undeveloped lands to other uses, primarily permanent open space. On the other hand, there are some factors which may tend to

counterbalance this and possibly even result in a somewhat larger development potential; for example, the residential development of the Country Club properties, the sale for develop­ment of some of the Stamford Water Com­pany watershed lands’, etc.

Nevertheless, a range of 9,000 to 10,000 persons, represents a reasonable maximum planning yardstick for the Town. It should be recognized, however, that this is not a forecast but simply a measure of maximum ultimate potential based upon present zoning and present conditions.

 

 

Characteristics of the Town’s Population

 

The only current data available that deals with specific characteristics of the Town’s population are from a 1977 Planning Board Survey which was concerned with needs for alternative housing types. It is likely that some bias is built into the survey’s results, since those interested in an alternative housing form would presumably be more likely to res­pond than the population as a whole. Therefore, its conclusions should be used cautiously. Other data sources of a more general nature include enrollment trends in the Pound Ridge School, and the Bedford Central School District, as well as the County Department of Planning research.

The results of the Pound Ridge Survey in­dicate the following:

     The median age of a Pound Ridge resident is 37, most adults in the Town are over 40, and most Pound Ridge children are teenagers (this latter is generally confirmed by School District data).

     The median length of residence of a family is eight years.

     The median family size is declining. The results of the survey described above, as well as one extrapolation from school district data indicate that average fami­ly size may now be as low as 3.1.

These results appear to show that typically a family moves to Pound Ridge after its

children are already in school, and they can afford the type of housing which is available. One implication, related to facilities planning, is that emphasis probably should be placed upon the recreational needs of adults and teenagers.

The decreasing size of families is of par­ticular significance to Pound Ridge. The Town, for at least the past 30 years, has been oriented primarily to providing housing for families with children, and for families above national average size. Its physical facilities, in particular its stock of housing, are oriented toward meeting the needs of such families.

Presumably, the economics of residential construction in Pound Ridge also dictates the building of comparatively large houses. Therefore, it is not certain whether smaller family sizes are a temporary phenomenon or a stable, long term feature.

Given this uncertainty, a somewhat flexible planning policy is needed, and the Board should continue to keep careful watch on changing trends. The results of the upcoming 1980 U.S. Census should be studied very carefully in this regard. Within the framework of the “ultimate capacity” plan, however, allowance should continue to be made for the facilities needs which would be generated by a Town with a median family size of 3.5 until such time as a definitive long term trend becomes more certain.

 

Housing Needs

 

Pound Ridge fulfills a specialized role in terms of helping to supply the Region’s hous­ing needs. It provides high quality housing within a rural atmosphere, which is reasonably convenient to major employment centers. This primary housing role generates two subsidiary demands for housing:

1. Jobs-Housing Imbalance: People who live in the above described housing produce a demand for locally supplied goods and ser­vices. This generates employment in the Town and a housing need for the families of these employees, such as local rental sales clerks, suppliers of personal services, and Town and School employees. These same people typically perform other roles, such as staffing the Volunteer Fire Depart­ment. A survey conducted by the Planning Board has identified a large sampling of 59

local employers and 258 local employees in Pound Ridge. Their places of residences are listed in Table 4.

This is related to the problem of “jobs-housing imbalance”, as it is defined by the Tn-State Regional Planning Commission and as discussed earlier. Some of these local employees would normally be ex­pected to reside closer to their place of work but the present lack of affordable housing makes this difficult. In 1978, the Tn-State estimate of jobs-housing im­balance for Pound Ridge was 27, the se­cond lowest in Westchester County.’ This very low figure is a direct reflection of the Town’s small employment base.

One way in which this housing need has been and can continue to be accom­modated is via permitting apartments

above businesses in Scotts Corners. This Plan recommends another planning tool which has been in use in some similar com­munities for many years and is gaining in­creasing popularity in others. This is the technique of allowing an accessory apart­ment to be associated with an existing single-family residence. Garage apart­ments, gatehouses, caretakers’ residences, etc., are examples. Implemented with str­ingent regulations as to septic capacity, size, visibility, appearance, owner oc­cupancy of either the house or the apart­ment, existence of the primary dwelling unit prior to a given date, entrances and parking, among other considerations, and restricted to the R-2A and R-3A districts, this technique would give the Town positive control over a number of situa­tions which are currently operated illegally. Creating an accessory apartment might make it possible for some older residents of the Town to remain in their own homes longer.

~.       Families with Grown Children: The second subsidiary housing need is produced by families who have moved to Pound Ridge, raised their children in large single-family homes, and now, with no children at home, wish to remain in Town but in a smaller residence, perhaps a townhouse or a small detached residence in a cluster subdivision, such as at Lyons Farm in Greenwich.

The 1977 Planning Board Survey, which was answered by 252 households, produced the following results (note that not all respondents answered this question):

“Will probably retire in our present home: Yes 104 No 33

“Would probably retire in Pound Ridge if suitable housing were available: Yes 60 No 26”

Among those indicating an interest in

“suitable housing”, the following

preferences were registered:

    Single-family detached:                      42
    Single-family attached:                       31
    Two-story garden apartment:              16

Most respondents who indicated interest in an alternative form of housing desired a two-bedroom unit.

3. Senior Citizen Housing: There is a current housing need for those who no longer wish to maintain large homes on two and three